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Explosions were heard and seen over Tel Aviv and Jerusalem as sirens sounded across Israel following what the country's military spokesman said was the firing of missiles from Iran. That came after Israel struck nuclear facilities and missile factories in Iran, escalating tensions in the Middle East and undermining global investor confidence. Oil prices surged nearly 7% on fears the conflict could disrupt crude supply from the Middle East. U.S. energy stocks rose in tandem, with Exxon up 2.2% and Diamondback Energy rallying 3.7%.
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Jefferies' Christopher Wood notes gold's consolidation above $3,000. He maintains high gold allocation in his pension fund. Western gold ETF flows are light despite gold's outperformance since 2022. Total ETF holdings are below 2020 peak. Gold prices have significantly outpaced the MSCI AC World Index since 2022. China's gold imports surged in April.
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The Indian rupee weakened to 86.20 per dollar due to rising crude oil prices following Israeli strikes on Iran, but closed at 86.08/$1 after likely RBI intervention. Brent crude surged to $75 per barrel, impacting risk sentiment and pushing the 10-year bond yield to 6.40% before settling at 6.36%. Geopolitical tensions created a fragile mood for bonds.
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