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Swaminathan Aiyar, Consulting Editor, ET Now in an interview covers potential impacts of the upcoming U.S. elections on global and Indian markets. He notes that the tight race between candidates could delay results, which may increase market volatility.A Democrat win, led by Kamala Harris, would likely mean policy continuity for India, while a Trump victory could lead to aggressive tariffs and protectionist measures that might spark trade tensions, especially if Republicans also secure Congress.Aiyar warns that a trade war scenario could harm global markets, with severe consequences for India and China.However, a gridlocked U.S. Congress might limit any drastic policy shifts, offering some stability. He also highlights Trumpism as an influential factor that could shape future policies, regardless of election outcomes.
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Investors are also focused on a US central bank rate decision and a key announcement on the Chinese economy.
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But the US uncertainty-related selling because money is going back into the US and the Japan, that is not India-centric. So, domestic fund managers are sensing an opportunity and from now on even there is further FII selling, domestic fund managers will step in
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