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US bonds edged higher in early trading Friday after ending October with their worst monthly performance in two years. With the election and a Fed meeting days away, a measure of daily yield swings is at its highest in a year as traders position for further losses that could send 10-year yields as high as 4.5% over the next three weeks - compared with just under 4.3% currently.
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As the nearly deadlocked race nears, some are looking for so-called "asymmetric trades" involving bitcoin or the yuan, assets which could yield big profits if Trump wins but would not cause big losses if the wagers are wrong. "Trading the election is difficult given how tight it is," said Edoardo Rulli, head of UBS Hedge Fund Solutions.
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The local trader community actively participates in the Muhurat trading session, engaging in token transactions with an intent to take home profits. Making money in this hour is considered auspicious, setting the tone for the year to come.
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