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Economists are largely suggesting the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to pause policy rates, encouraged by lower inflation and strong economic growth. Market participants are expected to advocate for a rate reduction, aligning with the US Federal Reserve's recent cut. The monetary policy committee is scheduled to meet, with the rate decision to be announced on October 1.
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Nomura projects stable government borrowing for the second half of fiscal year 2026. The borrowing calendar is expected soon after discussions with the Reserve Bank of India. Chief Economic Advisor, V Anantha Nageswaran, confirmed no changes. Nomura anticipates a shift towards shorter-term bonds. Direct tax collections rose by 9.2% in H1FY26.
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The CBIC is monitoring price changes of essential goods after the GST rate cuts on September 22nd. Field officials are collecting data from retailers and e-commerce platforms to ensure that the tax benefits are passed on to consumers.
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Global trade uncertainty persists as US tariffs face a Supreme Court ruling that could upend existing deals. Jahangir Aziz warns hidden economic pressures, inflation, and slowing consumption may emerge once tech strength fades.
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Gold prices surged 1.2% to Rs 1,11,190 per 10 gm, hitting record highs amid Navratri demand, Fed rate cuts, and Trumps visa policy row. Silver outperformed with a 52% rally in 2025.
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